Mapping Recorded Homicide in Indonesia: An Ecological Criminological Analysis Using BPS Data

Main Article Content

Zul Khaidir Kadir

Abstract

This article maps recorded homicide in Indonesia using BPS-based crime statistics and interprets its territorial visibility through ecological criminology. Rather than treating homicide only as an individual criminal act or as a doctrinal problem of criminal law, the article examines how officially recorded lethal violence appears across national, provincial, village-level, and police-region data. The study uses a descriptive ecological criminological design based on Statistik Kriminal 2024/2025. The findings show that recorded homicide declined slightly from 1,129 incidents in 2023 to 1,106 incidents in 2024. Podes-based territorial data show that the percentage of villages or urban villages with homicide incidents in 2024 ranged from 0.18 percent to 1.87 percent, with the highest percentages in DKI Jakarta, Papua Selatan, and Papua Tengah, and the lowest in Aceh, Kalimantan Utara, and Bali. As a supporting comparison, police-region data on crimes against life show the highest burden in Jawa Timur, Sumatera Utara, and Papua. The article argues that these data should be interpreted as indicators of official visibility and territorial burden, not as direct measures of individual criminality or causal explanation. By linking BPS data with ecological criminological theory, the article contributes to Indonesian homicide studies by offering a disciplined descriptive mapping of recorded homicide while clarifying the methodological limits of official statistics.

Article Details

Section

Articles

References

Bellair, P. E., McNulty, T. L., & Carlson, D. L. (2024). The Significance of Duration Weighted Neighborhood Effects for Violent Behavior and Explanation of Ethnoracial Differences. Journal of Quantitative Criminology. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-024-09588-1

Cesario, E., Lindia, P., & Vinci, A. (2024). Multi-density crime predictor: an approach to forecast criminal activities in multi-density crime hotspots. Journal of Big Data, 11(1), 75. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40537-024-00935-4

Cho, S., Lee, Y. H., & Harper, S. B. (2021). Testing the Systemic Model of Social Disorganization Theory in South Korean Neighborhoods: A Latent Class Growth Analysis Approach to Specifying Pathways to Homicide. Homicide Studies, 25(2), 139–163. https://doi.org/10.1177/1088767920941564

Chopin, J., Guay, J.-P., Fortin, F., Paquette, S., Péloquin, O., & Chartrand, E. (2024). Earlier or Later? A Survival Analysis of Criminal Career and Contextual Factors Associated With Intimate Partner Homicide in Canada. The British Journal of Criminology, 64(6), 1362–1384. https://doi.org/10.1093/bjc/azae023

Daly, M. (2023). Inequality, grievances, and the variability in homicide rates. Evolution and Human Behavior, 44(3), 296–304. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.evolhumbehav.2023.01.005

Densley, J. A., & Peterson, J. K. (2025). Murder in a time of crisis: a qualitative exploration of the 2020 homicide spike through offender interviews. Journal of Crime and Justice, 48(5), 618–627. https://doi.org/10.1080/0735648X.2024.2426502

Finch, B. K., Thomas, K., Beck, A. N., Burghart, D. B., Klinger, D., & Johnson, R. R. (2022). Assessing Data Completeness, Quality, and Representativeness of Justifiable Homicides in the FBI’s Supplementary Homicide Reports: A Research Note. Journal of Quantitative Criminology, 38(1), 267–293. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10940-021-09493-x

Gobaud, A. N., Mehranbod, C. A., Dong, B., Dodington, J., & Morrison, C. N. (2022). Absolute versus relative socioeconomic disadvantage and homicide: a spatial ecological case–control study of US zip codes. Injury Epidemiology, 9(1), 7. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40621-022-00371-z

Groeneveld, G., & Breetzke, G. D. (2022). The vagaries of variables: Towards a standardised approach for variable selection in spatial crime research. Methodological Innovations, 15(2), 152–162. https://doi.org/10.1177/20597991221091513

Holt, K. (2024). Editorial Introduction to Homicide Studies Special Issue: Critical Perspectives on Homicide. Homicide Studies, 28(3), 247–250. https://doi.org/10.1177/10887679241246991

Inlow, A. R. (2020). Does Land Use Matter? Understanding Homicide Counts Beyond the Effects of Social Disorganization. Homicide Studies, 24(4), 311–332. https://doi.org/10.1177/1088767919884672

Kadir, Z. K. (2025). Kejahatan Berbasis Identitas Digital: Menggagas Kebijakan Kriminal untuk Dunia Metaverse. Jurnal Litigasi Amsir, 12(2), 124–137.

Kadir, Z. K. (2026a). Narrative Closure in Honor killing Cases: How Judgments Stabilise Meaning, Eliminate Ambiguity, and Produce Sentencing Certainty. Punggawa Law Review, 1(1), 1–10.

Kadir, Z. K. (2026b). Neurocriminology and the Next Generation of Criminological Theory: Integration, Limits, and Ethical Risks. Punggawa Global Research: Jurnal Multidisiplin, 1(1), 1–8.

Kadir, Z. K. (2026c). Siri’ Killing vis-à-vis Honor Killing: Menimbang Batas Universal dan Kekhasan Lokal Pembunuhan Demi Kehormatan. Jurnal Sains Student Research, 4(2), 226–242.

Kadir, Z. K. (2026d). Siri’Killing dalam Masyarakat Bugis-Makassar: Konstruksi, Pola Pembunuhan, dan Respons Hukum Pidana. MUTIARA: Jurnal Ilmiah Multidisiplin Indonesia, 4(2), 158–172.

Kadir, Z. K., & Mappaselleng, N. F. (2025). Reformasi Konsep Heat of Passion: Menuju Pembatasan Provokasi dalam Mengurangi Pertanggungjawaban Pidana Pembunuhan. Justitiable-Jurnal Hukum, 8(1), 119–136. https://doi.org/10.56071/justitiable.v8i1.1293

Krüsselmann, K., Aarten, P., Granath, S., Kivivuori, J., Markwalder, N., Suonpää, K., Thomsen, A. H., Walser, S., & Liem, M. (2023). Firearm Homicides in Europe: A Comparison with Non-Firearm Homicides in Five European Countries. Global Crime, 24(2), 145–167. https://doi.org/10.1080/17440572.2023.2211513

Linning, S. J., Bowers, K., & Eck, J. E. (2024). Crime radiation theory: the co-production of crime patterns through opportunity creation and exploitation. Crime Science, 13(1), 32. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-024-00234-6

Linning, S. J., Olaghere, A., & Eck, J. E. (2022). Say NOPE to social disorganization criminology: the importance of creators in neighborhood social control. Crime Science, 11(1), 5. https://doi.org/10.1186/s40163-022-00167-y

Manwaring, J. (2024). Homicide: Losing Control. The Cambridge Law Journal, 83–2.

McLaughlin, J. L., & Pound, N. (2025). Economic Inequality, Life Expectancy, and Interpersonal Violence in London Neighborhoods. Journal of Interpersonal Violence, 40(13–14), 3231–3250. https://doi.org/10.1177/08862605241271379

McWilliams, E. R., & Hunter, B. A. (2021). The Impact of Criminal Record Stigma on Quality of Life: A Test of Theoretical Pathways. American Journal of Community Psychology, 67(1–2), 89–102. https://doi.org/10.1002/ajcp.12454

Mohammadi, A., Bergquist, R., Fathi, G., Pishgar, E., de Melo, S. N., Sharifi, A., & Kiani, B. (2022). Homicide rates are spatially associated with built environment and socio-economic factors: a study in the neighbourhoods of Toronto, Canada. BMC Public Health, 22(1), 1482. https://doi.org/10.1186/s12889-022-13807-4

Nivette, A., & Peres, M. F. T. (2022). Social Disorganization and Urban Homicide Rates: A Spatial-Temporal Analysis in São Paulo, Brazil 2000 to 2015. Homicide Studies, 26(3), 219–243. https://doi.org/10.1177/10887679211010883

Riascos Villegas, Á. J., Ñungo, J. S., Gómez Tobón, L., Dulce Rubio, M., & Gómez, F. (2023). Modelling underreported spatio-temporal crime events. PLOS ONE, 18(7), e0287776. https://doi.org/10.1371/journal.pone.0287776

Rowh, A., Zhang, X., Nguyen, B., & Jack, S. (2025). Inequities in Intimate Partner Homicide: Social Determinants of Health Mediate Racial/Ethnic Disparities. American Journal of Preventive Medicine, 68(3), 555–562. https://doi.org/10.1016/j.amepre.2024.11.021

Silva, C. F. A. da, de Melo, S. N., Vaughan, A. D., Santos, A. M. dos, & de Almeida Junior, P. M. (2024). The Influence of Racial Minorities and Ethnic Heterogeneity in the Estimation of Homicide Rates in the Northeast Region of Brazil: Implications for Social Disorganization Theory in the Global South. Homicide Studies, 28(4), 487–514. https://doi.org/10.1177/10887679221128006

van Breen, J., & Liem, M. (2024). When it rains it pours? A time-series approach to the relationship between homicide and other adverse health phenomena. Journal of Public Health, 32(9), 1691–1696. https://doi.org/10.1007/s10389-023-01929-x

Zhang, B. (2025). Exploring Situational Triggers of Intimate Partner Femicide within the Ecological Framework: Evidence from Married Females in China. Victims & Offenders, 20(3), 441–469. https://doi.org/10.1080/15564886.2024.2410343